How much revenue did Dawn of the Mexica make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dawn of the Mexica sell?

Q: How many copies did Dawn of the Mexica sell?

794 to 1k copies, based on its 32 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 794–1k; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 32 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dawn of the Mexica and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dawn of the Mexica's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 76k–342k

best case 619k (Tales of Maj'Eyal)

Games like Dawn of the Mexica

A typical game among these

≈ 76k–342k copies

≈ $437k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tales of Maj'Eyal at ≈ 471k–766k copies, ≈ $906k–$2.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 939 reviews in their first month; the range was 314 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Traditional Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $7.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Jupiter Hell 2021	Est. copies ≈ 53k–86k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $362k–$973k after Steam's cut $658k–$1.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeTurn-Based
Dungeons of Dredmor 2011	Est. copies ≈ 344k–559k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $756k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut	$7.99	5k reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikeRogue-like
Cogmind 2017	Est. copies ≈ 70k–113k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $479k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $870k–$2.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Early AccessTraditional Roguelike
ADOM (Ancient Domains Of Mystery) 2015	Est. copies ≈ 79k–128k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $325k–$875k after Steam's cut $591k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikeCRPG
Desktop Dungeons 2023	Est. copies ≈ 59k–95k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $242k–$650k after Steam's cut $439k–$1000k before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-likeTurn-Based
One Way Heroics 2014	Est. copies ≈ 233k–378k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $223k–$601k after Steam's cut $406k–$924k before Steam's cut	$3.49	4k reviews Very Positive	Mystery DungeonSide Scroller
Tales of Maj'Eyal 2013	Est. copies ≈ 471k–766k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $906k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut	$6.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Traditional RoguelikeRogue-like
Shattered Pixel Dungeon 2022	Est. copies ≈ 55k–89k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut	$9.99	2k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Traditional RoguelikeDungeon Crawler