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How many copies did The Holy Gosh Darn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$49k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut
from 356 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Holy Gosh Darn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Holy Gosh Darn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 183k–655k
best case 6.6M (STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™)
Games like The Holy Gosh Darn

A typical game among these

≈ 183k–655k copies

≈ $1.8M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ at ≈ 5.1M–8.2M copies, ≈ $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 839 to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (7 of 8) and Souls-like (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beautiful + Metroidvania, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Beautiful + Great Soundtrack + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vigil: The Longest Night
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$548k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $997k–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$21.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaSide Scroller
Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 540k–878k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy
TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
TEVI
2023
Est. copies
≈ 101k–164k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$832k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaAnime
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
147k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
Rabi-Ribi
2016
Est. copies
≈ 511k–830k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$17.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeMetroidvania
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
Owlboy
2016
Est. copies
≈ 255k–415k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsAdventure

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