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How many copies did BOT.vinnik Chess: Opening Traps sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$950–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 70 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid BOT.vinnik Chess: Opening Traps and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BOT.vinnik Chess: Opening Traps's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–11k
best case 35k (GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena)
Games like BOT.vinnik Chess: Opening Traps

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–11k copies

≈ $2k–$80k after Steam's cut

from ~107 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena at ≈ 26k–43k copies, ≈ $109k–$293k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 243.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Chess (7 of 8) and Artificial Intelligence (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Artificial Intelligence + Competitive, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ChessCraft
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$5.99
85 reviews
Very Positive
ChessArtificial Intelligence
BOT.vinnik Chess: Winning Patterns
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$1.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
ChessPuzzle
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$450k before Steam's cut
$14.99
917 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyArtificial Intelligence
Pure Chess Grandmaster Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$15.99
280 reviews
Mostly Positive
ChessStrategy
BOT.vinnik Chess: Combination Lessons
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$1.99
128 reviews
Very Positive
Master of Chess
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41k–$110k after Steam's cut $74k–$169k before Steam's cut
$19.99
299 reviews
Very Positive
BOT.vinnik Chess: Mid-Century USSR Championships
2021
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$489–$1k after Steam's cut $889–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
36 reviews
Positive
ChessStrategy
BOT.vinnik Chess: Early USSR Championships
2021
Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$502–$1k after Steam's cut $913–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
37 reviews
Positive

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