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How many copies did Witch Strandings sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 992–2k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $6k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 40 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Witch Strandings and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Witch Strandings's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 138k–198k
best case 428k (Catherine Classic)
Games like Witch Strandings

A typical game among these

≈ 138k–198k copies

≈ $751k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Catherine Classic at ≈ 326k–530k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 671 reviews in their first month; the range was 221 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Exploration (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sexual Content + Anime, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Sexual Content + Anime + Mature; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Story RichPixel Graphics
Catherine Classic
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Est. copies
≈ 326k–530k
2.5x vs typical
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≈ 158k–258k
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Very Positive
LGBTQ+Choices Matter

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.