How much revenue did Notch - The Innocent LunA: Eclipsed SinnerS make?

$442k–$1.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Notch - The Innocent LunA: Eclipsed SinnerS sell?

Q: How many copies did Notch - The Innocent LunA: Eclipsed SinnerS sell?

161k to 261k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 161k–261k; $442k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $803k–$1.8M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Notch - The Innocent LunA: Eclipsed SinnerS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Notch - The Innocent LunA: Eclipsed SinnerS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.0M

best case 4.8M (Inscryption)

Games like Notch - The Innocent LunA: Eclipsed SinnerS

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.0M copies

≈ $12.8M–$21.5M after Steam's cut

from ~31k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Inscryption at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 20k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Story Rich (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Battler + Card Game, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Card Battler + Card Game + Deckbuilding; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Hello Neighbor 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.4M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	33k reviews Very Positive	HorrorSandbox
Amnesia: The Dark Descent 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	36k reviews Very Positive	HorrorGore
Inscryption 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M 4.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.3M–$54.6M after Steam's cut $36.9M–$84.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	149k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerCard Game
CONTROL Ultimate Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	65k reviews Very Positive	ActionSupernatural
Fran Bow 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Ghostwire: Tokyo 2022	Est. copies ≈ 526k–855k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut	$59.99	21k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerSupernatural
Mouthwashing 2024	Est. copies ≈ 0 too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $0 after Steam's cut $0 before Steam's cut	$12.99	0 reviews No user reviews	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Layers of Fear (2016) 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.3M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Horror Psychological Horror