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How many copies did Street karate 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
from 60 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Street karate 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Street karate 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 399–4k
best case 20k (Sclash)
Games like Street karate 3

A typical game among these

≈ 399–4k copies

≈ $1k–$7k after Steam's cut

from ~41 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sclash at ≈ 15k–24k copies, ≈ $37k–$99k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 142.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 2D Fighter (6 of 8) and Spectacle fighter (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 2D Fighter + Hand-drawn, priced around $9.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HAYAI
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
$1.99
248 reviews
Very Positive
ActionScore Attack
FACTOR D
2022
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$796–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$8.99
13 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early Access2D Fighter
Tough Law
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$706–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$1.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerHack and Slash
Russian Reality
2020
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$10.99
30 reviews
Mixed
ActionMemes
UNPLUGGED
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$340–$915 after Steam's cut $619–$1k before Steam's cut
$4.99
10 reviews
Positive
Beat 'em upHand-drawn
Sclash
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
15x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$37k–$99k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
$8.99
603 reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterHand-drawn
Mega Knockdown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$9.99
77 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessFighting
Freyr's Love
2021
Est. copies
≈ 248–403
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$68–$181 after Steam's cut $123–$279 before Steam's cut
$0.99
10 reviews
Positive
Pixel GraphicsMythology

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