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How many copies did Wolf Adventures sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 595–967
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 24 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Wolf Adventures and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Wolf Adventures's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 676–13k
best case 28k (Draw)
Games like Wolf Adventures

A typical game among these

≈ 676–13k copies

≈ $614–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~77 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Draw at ≈ 21k–34k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 45 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 355.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Interactive Fiction (7 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action RPG + Action-Adventure.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 6k–10k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
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GOODBYE WORLD
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Est. copies
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11x vs typical
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$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
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IndieAdventure
Draw
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RPGAction RPG
CAT Interstellar: Recast
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Est. copies
≈ 918–1k
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Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$4.99
37 reviews
Positive
AdventureInteractive Fiction
MARK'S LIFE
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Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$680–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$3.99
25 reviews
Positive
AdventureDrama
Falling Down
2023
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$41–$109 after Steam's cut $74–$168 before Steam's cut
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6 reviews
6 user reviews
AdventureVisual Novel
黄色猫片
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Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$790–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$0.99
117 reviews
Very Positive
AbstractComedy
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Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
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$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$899 before Steam's cut
$3.99
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8 user reviews
AdventureCasual

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