How much revenue did Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure make?

$1k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure sell?

Q: How many copies did Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure sell?

744 to 1k copies, based on its 30 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 744–1k; $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut; from 30 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 184k–627k

best case 1.7M (TCG Card Shop Simulator)

Games like Alexey's Winter: Night Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 184k–627k copies

≈ $898k–$2.9M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Collectathon (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: TCG Card Shop Simulator at ≈ 1.3M–2.0M copies, ≈ $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 132 to 51k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Collectathon (4 of 8) and Life Sim (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Management, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Summon 2023	Est. copies ≈ 89k–144k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut	$0.99	4k reviews Very Positive	SimulationMemes
Cozy Grove 2021	Est. copies ≈ 211k–343k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $870k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	9k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingCute
Travellers Rest 2020	Est. copies ≈ 452k–735k 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$17.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Life SimPixel Graphics
Placid Plastic Duck Simulator 2022	Est. copies ≈ 503k–817k 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $275k–$740k after Steam's cut $500k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$1.99	20k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CuteRelaxing
TCG Card Shop Simulator 2026	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.0M 6.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	51k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Simulation Management
Lower? Higher! 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut	$9.99	158 reviews Mixed	IdlerCollectathon
BOOK OF HOURS 2023	Est. copies ≈ 111k–181k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	4k reviews Very Positive	RPGCard Game
Littlewood 2020	Est. copies ≈ 169k–275k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $699k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsLife Sim