Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Sweet Dreams Alex sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
from 97 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sweet Dreams Alex and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sweet Dreams Alex's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 862k–1.4M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Sweet Dreams Alex

A typical game among these

≈ 862k–1.4M copies

≈ $7.9M–$12.5M after Steam's cut

from ~32k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 13k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 43k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and Crafting (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
5.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Kingdoms and Castles
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
32k reviews
Very Positive
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
33x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Leaf Blower Revolution - Idle Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 657k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
IdlerClicker
Core Keeper
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.