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How many copies did IRMÃO Grande & Brasileiro 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 37k–61k
$205k–$551k after Steam's cut $373k–$848k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid IRMÃO Grande & Brasileiro 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including IRMÃO Grande & Brasileiro 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 18.7M (Cities: Skylines)
Games like IRMÃO Grande & Brasileiro 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $7k–$12k after Steam's cut

from ~63 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Cities: Skylines at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies, ≈ $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 38 reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Card Game (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Simulation, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Sandbox + Space + Grand Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stellaris
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8.2M–13.3M
3149x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$112.6M–$302.6M after Steam's cut $204.7M–$465.6M before Steam's cut
$49.99
197k reviews
Very Positive
Cities: Skylines
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14.2M–23.1M
4660x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
291k reviews
Very Positive
Tiny Balls
2024
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
31 reviews
Positive
CasualCompetitive
Rummy 3D Premium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut
$14.99
75 reviews
Mixed
Card GameTabletop
Canasta 3D Premium
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$9.99
75 reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameTabletop
Crazy Eights 3D Premium
2020
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$9.99
14 reviews
Positive
CasualStrategy
Trendpoker 3D: Free Online Poker
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
153 reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayIndie
Raiders Of The Lost Island
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$12.99
50 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPvP

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