How much revenue did Black Trail VR make?

$7k–$19k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Black Trail VR sell?

Q: How many copies did Black Trail VR sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 41 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $7k–$19k after Steam's cut $13k–$29k before Steam's cut; from 41 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black Trail VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Trail VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 259k–1.3M

best case 2.8M (SteamVR)

Games like Black Trail VR

A typical game among these

≈ 259k–1.3M copies

≈ $2.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SteamVR at ≈ 2.2M–3.5M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 38k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Shooter (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + Software.
When they shipped: 4 of the 7 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SteamVR unreleased	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	87k reviews Very Positive	VRSoftware
Onward 2025	Est. copies ≈ 231k–375k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	9k reviews Mixed	VRShooter
Fallout 4 VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 302k–490k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	9k reviews Mixed	VROpen World
Space Pirate Trainer 2017	Est. copies ≈ 98k–159k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $404k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $735k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	VRAction
Metro Awakening 2024	Est. copies ≈ 89k–145k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $737k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	VRExploration
Pavlov 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	41k reviews Very Positive	VRShooter
BONEWORKS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Very Positive	VRPhysics
Hot Dogs, Horseshoes & Hand Grenades 2026	Est. copies ≈ 594k–966k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	24k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxVR