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How many copies did Hot Dogs, Horseshoes & Hand Grenades sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 594k–966k
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
from 24k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hot Dogs, Horseshoes & Hand Grenades and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hot Dogs, Horseshoes & Hand Grenades's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–3.6M
best case 4.0M (CarX Drift Racing Online)
Games like Hot Dogs, Horseshoes & Hand Grenades

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–3.6M copies

≈ $15.7M–$25.2M after Steam's cut

from ~53k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: CarX Drift Racing Online at ≈ 3.1M–5.0M copies, ≈ $14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Physics, priced around $17.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$8.4M–$22.5M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.6M before Steam's cut
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OffroadSimulation
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≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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SandboxSpace
Totally Accurate Battlegrounds
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≈ 2.7M–4.3M
1.6x vs typical
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MultiplayerPhysics
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Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
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FlightVR
Blade and Sorcery
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≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.7M before Steam's cut
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62k reviews
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VRSwordplay
CarX Drift Racing Online
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.4M–$38.6M after Steam's cut $26.1M–$59.4M before Steam's cut
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89k reviews
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RacingPhysics
Tabletop Simulator
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Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
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TabletopBoard Game
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics

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