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How many copies did Evil Wizard sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$17k–$45k after Steam's cut $30k–$69k before Steam's cut
from 123 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Evil Wizard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evil Wizard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 305k–2.9M
best case 10.1M (Hades)
Games like Evil Wizard

A typical game among these

≈ 305k–2.9M copies

≈ $2.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hades at ≈ 7.7M–12.5M copies, ≈ $52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 273 to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Children of Morta
2019
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$21.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerRogue-like
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Dungeon Fighter Online
2016
Est. copies
≈ 238k–387k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
6k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayAnime
Diablo® IV
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.8M–$72.1M after Steam's cut $48.8M–$111.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
79k reviews
Mixed
Action RPGHack and Slash
Hades II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
124k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRogue-like
Moon Hunters
2016
Est. copies
≈ 218k–354k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$898k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
RelaxingRogue-lite
Xuan-Yuan Sword VII
2020
Est. copies
≈ 238k–386k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.2M–$9.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
10k reviews
Mixed
RPGMartial Arts
Going Under
2020
Est. copies
≈ 104k–168k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$711k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeDungeon Crawler

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