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How big is Nilspace?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 248–403
from 10 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nilspace and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nilspace's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 193k–290k
best case 4.6M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like Nilspace

A typical game among these

≈ 193k–290k copies

≈ $2.1M–$4.9M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 14k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (7 of 8) and Anime (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Dating Sim + Story Rich + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Banner of the Maid
2019
Est. copies
≈ 241k–391k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$16.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Super Robot Wars 30
2021
Est. copies
≈ 162k–263k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$11.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Persona 3 Portable
2023
Est. copies
≈ 143k–233k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
Digimon Survive
2022
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
Visual NovelTactical RPG
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 384k–625k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.2M after Steam's cut $9.6M–$21.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Creature CollectorJRPG
Sunrider: Mask of Arcadius
2014
Est. copies
≈ 157k–255k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeVisual Novel

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