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How many copies did Sumotori Dreams Classic sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$42k before Steam's cut
from 298 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sumotori Dreams Classic and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sumotori Dreams Classic's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 113k–394k
best case 744k (Undisputed)
Games like Sumotori Dreams Classic

A typical game among these

≈ 113k–394k copies

≈ $792k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Undisputed at ≈ 567k–921k copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 162 to 16k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sports (7 of 8) and Fighting (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Fighter + Third Person, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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