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How many copies did Chaos on Wheels sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 49 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chaos on Wheels and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chaos on Wheels's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 168k–1.2M
best case 3.2M (Crossout)
Games like Chaos on Wheels

A typical game among these

≈ 168k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.1M–$4.3M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Realistic (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Crossout at ≈ 2.4M–3.9M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 182 to 46k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Realistic (3 of 8) and War (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third Person + Gun Customization.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

GRIP: Combat Racing
2018
Est. copies
≈ 157k–255k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
War Robots: Frontiers
2025
Est. copies
≈ 123k–199k
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayThird-Person Shooter
Crossout
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
70k reviews
Mostly Positive
Third PersonGun Customization
Naval Action
2019
Est. copies
≈ 428k–695k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Mixed
SailingNaval Combat
VTOL VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 752k–1.2M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FlightVR
World War 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
55k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayFPS
Warbox
2021
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$249k–$670k after Steam's cut $453k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mixed
SandboxWar
Warpips
2022
Est. copies
≈ 130k–211k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$605k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTower Defense

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