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How many copies did The Bolt Age sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Bolt Age and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Bolt Age's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 833k–1.4M
best case 2.2M (Remnant: From the Ashes)
Games like The Bolt Age

A typical game among these

≈ 833k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.3M–$8.0M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Mystery (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Remnant: From the Ashes at ≈ 1.7M–2.7M copies, ≈ $18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mystery (4 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Co-op, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Room Two
2016
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
Remnant: From the Ashes
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$49.1M after Steam's cut $33.2M–$75.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeAction
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
Gloomwood
2022
Est. copies
≈ 209k–340k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessImmersive Sim
The Room
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
SIGNALIS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 862k–1.4M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SUNLESS SEA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 467k–759k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$18.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationLovecraftian

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