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How many copies did SUNLESS SEA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 467k–759k
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SUNLESS SEA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SUNLESS SEA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 134k–1.6M
best case 3.4M (SOMA)
Games like SUNLESS SEA

A typical game among these

≈ 134k–1.6M copies

≈ $1.3M–$15.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SOMA at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (6 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Curious Expedition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 188k–305k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$774k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationRogue-like
Sunless Skies: Sovereign Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 100k–163k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$689k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
SteampunkLovecraftian
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs
2013
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Mixed
SOMA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
Curious Expedition 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 103k–167k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$566k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureSimulation
Darkwood
2017
Est. copies
≈ 861k–1.4M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
Swallow the Sea
2021
Est. copies
≈ 61k–99k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionFree to Play

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