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How many copies did ODDADA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$27k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$113k before Steam's cut
from 402 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ODDADA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ODDADA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–880k
best case 4.6M (Muse Dash)
Games like ODDADA

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–880k copies

≈ $29k–$6.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Muse Dash at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 23k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Music (8 of 8) and Rhythm (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hatsune Miku: Project DIVA Mega Mix+
2022
Est. copies
≈ 590k–959k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.2M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.5M before Steam's cut
$39.39
24k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmAnime
Master Show VR
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$163–$440 after Steam's cut $296–$677 before Steam's cut
$7.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
IndieMusic
A Musical Story
2022
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31k–$83k after Steam's cut $56k–$128k before Steam's cut
$14.99
302 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Muse Dash
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
122k reviews
Very Positive
MusicRhythm
Quaver
2022
Est. copies
≈ 425k–691k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
RhythmFree to Play
Just Shapes & Beats
2018
Est. copies
≈ 795k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmGreat Soundtrack
Musician Simulator
2024
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$851–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$4.99
25 reviews
Mostly Negative
MusicSimulation
Rocksmith® 2014 Edition REMASTERED LEARN & PLAY
2024
Est. copies
≈ 629k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
MusicEducation

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