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How many copies did The Nightmare Journey sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$217–$584 after Steam's cut $395–$898 before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Nightmare Journey and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Nightmare Journey's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–116k
best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)
Games like The Nightmare Journey

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–116k copies

≈ $94k–$475k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 321 reviews in their first month; the range was 170 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle-Platformer (8 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Puzzle-Platformer, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Indie + Atmospheric + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
77x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.1M–$59.3M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
当火车鸣笛三秒
2021
Est. copies
≈ 12k–20k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$9.99
487 reviews
Mostly Positive
Interactive FictionWord Game
Paper Bride 3 Unresolved Love
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$69k–$184k after Steam's cut $125k–$284k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle-Platformer
Lakeview Cabin Collection
2015
Est. copies
≈ 95k–154k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$260k–$699k after Steam's cut $473k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Survival Horror2D Platformer
Laughing to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 82k–133k
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$113k–$302k after Steam's cut $205k–$465k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureCasual
DARQ: Complete Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$664k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDark
YUMENIKKI -DREAM DIARY-
2018
Est. copies
≈ 46k–75k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$255k–$685k after Steam's cut $463k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
ExplorationPuzzle-Platformer
Reflection of Mine
2017
Est. copies
≈ 9k–14k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $39k–$88k before Steam's cut
$8.99
250 reviews
Very Positive
Psychological HorrorPuzzle-Platformer

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