How much revenue did Back to the Dawn make?

$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Back to the Dawn sell?

Q: How many copies did Back to the Dawn sell?

258k to 419k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 258k–419k; $1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before the cut; from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Back to the Dawn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Back to the Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–3.4M

best case 21.8M (Undertale)

Games like Back to the Dawn

The middle of these games

≈ 1.7M–3.4M copies

≈ $13.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.6M–27.0M copies, ≈ $45.6M–$122.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4k to 43k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Casual + Relaxing + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
OneShot 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.7M before the cut	$9.99	65k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.1M–$59.4M after Steam's cut $40.2M–$91.5M before the cut	$19.99	162k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
To the Moon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 5.5M–8.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $15.0M–$40.4M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.1M before the cut	$9.99	86k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichGreat Soundtrack
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$49.9M before the cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 906k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before the cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
Wandering Sword 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before the cut	$24.99	45k reviews Very Positive	RPGMartial Arts
Graveyard Keeper 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.3M before the cut	$19.99	55k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsCrafting
Undertale 2015	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–27.0M 5.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.6M–$122.6M after Steam's cut $82.9M–$188.7M before the cut	$9.99	340k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich