How much revenue did Back to the Dawn make?

$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Back to the Dawn sell?

Q: How many copies did Back to the Dawn sell?

246k to 399k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 246k–399k; $1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before the cut; from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Back to the Dawn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Back to the Dawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.3M

best case 20.2M (Undertale)

The Story Rich genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game

≈ 1.6M–3.3M copies

≈ $13.0M–$21.2M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Best case

≈ 15.4M–25.0M copies

Undertale · ≈ $42.2M–$113.4M after Steam's cut

A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Story Rich (5 of 8) and Choices Matter (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Casual + Relaxing + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2012 to 2023, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
OneShot 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.0M before the cut	$9.99	64k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $20.9M–$56.3M after Steam's cut $38.1M–$86.6M before the cut	$19.99	159k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
To the Moon 2012	Est. copies ≈ 4.5M–7.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before the cut	$9.99	86k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichGreat Soundtrack
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.2M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.6M before the cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 904k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before the cut	$14.99	36k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
Wandering Sword 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.1M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before the cut	$24.99	43k reviews Very Positive	RPGMartial Arts
Graveyard Keeper 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.6M before the cut	$19.99	54k reviews Very Positive	Pixel GraphicsCrafting
Undertale 2015	Est. copies ≈ 15.4M–25.0M 5.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $42.2M–$113.4M after Steam's cut $76.7M–$174.5M before the cut	$9.99	331k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich