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How many copies did SCP: Keter sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 942–2k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 38 reviews (Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid SCP: Keter and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SCP: Keter's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 83k–448k
best case 18.7M (DayZ)
Games like SCP: Keter

A typical game among these

≈ 83k–448k copies

≈ $457k–$3.3M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: DayZ at ≈ 14.3M–23.2M copies, ≈ $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 217 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival Horror (7 of 8) and FPS (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Open World, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Survival + Open World + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

CONSCRIPT: Director’s Cut
2024
Est. copies
≈ 64k–104k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$477k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $867k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$26.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
159x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Save Room - Organization Puzzle
2022
Est. copies
≈ 62k–100k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$51k–$137k after Steam's cut $92k–$210k before Steam's cut
$2.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleInventory Management
Alisa
2021
Est. copies
≈ 40k–64k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$196k–$527k after Steam's cut $356k–$811k before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
The Dark Pictures Anthology: House of Ashes
2021
Est. copies
≈ 274k–445k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterHorror
Codename CURE
2017
Est. copies
≈ 569k–924k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesShooter
Level Zero: Extraction
2025
Est. copies
≈ 73k–119k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$402k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $732k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mixed
Survival HorrorExtraction Shooter
Six Days in Fallujah
2023
Est. copies
≈ 409k–665k
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
16k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessTactical

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