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How many copies did Level Zero: Extraction sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 73k–119k
$402k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $732k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Level Zero: Extraction and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Level Zero: Extraction's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.4M
best case 2.3M (Dead Space)
Games like Level Zero: Extraction

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.4M copies

≈ $10.3M–$36.5M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dead Space at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and Shooter (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Third-Person Shooter, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Aliens vs. Predator™
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.7M–$15.2M after Steam's cut $10.3M–$23.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Dead Space (2008)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSci-fi
Dead Space™ 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Dead Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThird-Person Shooter
ZERO Sievert
2024
Est. copies
≈ 387k–628k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Extraction ShooterSurvival
The Cycle: Frontier
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
45k reviews
Mixed
Extraction ShooterSurvival
Aliens: Fireteam Elite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$14.9M after Steam's cut $10.1M–$23.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
Co-opShooter

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