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How many copies did Dead Space (2008) sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
$10.2M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.0M before Steam's cut
from 29k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dead Space (2008) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dead Space (2008)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–2.7M
best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)
Games like Dead Space (2008)

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–2.7M copies

≈ $16.0M–$39.0M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 12k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Sci-fi (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Space, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Prey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's cut $28.2M–$64.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
Sci-fiImmersive Sim
Dead Space™ 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
DOOM 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 794k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Dead Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThird-Person Shooter
The Callisto Protocol™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut $32.5M–$74.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
44k reviews
Mixed
HorrorSci-fi
System Shock
2023
Est. copies
≈ 323k–525k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
ActionImmersive Sim

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