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How many copies did Sunset Hills sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 15k–25k
$76k–$204k after Steam's cut $138k–$314k before Steam's cut
from 618 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sunset Hills and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sunset Hills's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–34k
best case 274k (Cat Quest II)
Games like Sunset Hills

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–34k copies

≈ $47k–$289k after Steam's cut

from ~399 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dog (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Cat Quest II at ≈ 209k–339k copies, ≈ $860k–$2.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 90 reviews in their first month; the range was 21 to 523.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dog (3 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Action RPG, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Action RPG + Hack and Slash + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2021. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 50k–100k
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JRPG2D
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18x vs typical
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RPGCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.