How much revenue did The Red Lantern make?

$395k–$1.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Red Lantern sell?

Q: How many copies did The Red Lantern sell?

57k to 93k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 57k–93k; $395k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $718k–$1.6M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Red Lantern and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Red Lantern's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 563k–793k

best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)

Games like The Red Lantern

A typical game among these

≈ 563k–793k copies

≈ $4.2M–$6.6M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 722 to 208k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Exploration (5 of 8) and Sandbox (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Management + Simulation, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Singleplayer + RPG + Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Disney Dreamlight Valley 2023	Est. copies ≈ 617k–1.0M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.8M–$18.3M after Steam's cut $12.3M–$28.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	25k reviews Very Positive	RelaxingLife Sim
Road 96 🛣️ 2021	Est. copies ≈ 653k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.8M before Steam's cut	$19.96	26k reviews Very Positive	First-PersonColorful
60 Seconds! Reatomized 2019	Est. copies ≈ 566k–919k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut	$9.99	20k reviews Very Positive	2DChoose Your Own Adventure
Tell Me Why 2020	Est. copies ≈ 400k–650k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	16k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterStory Rich
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 11x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	225k reviews Mixed	ManagementSingleplayer
Avorion 2020	Est. copies ≈ 362k–588k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	15k reviews Very Positive	ExplorationSandbox
Mon Bazou 2025	Est. copies ≈ 517k–840k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.4M before Steam's cut	$15.99	21k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Early AccessAutomobile Sim
The Elder Scrolls® Online 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.0M 8.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $30.6M–$82.2M after Steam's cut $55.6M–$126.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	162k reviews Very Positive	RPGMMORPG