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How many copies did OctoRaid VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 248–403
$681–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 10 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid OctoRaid VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including OctoRaid VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 660–8k
best case 46k (DAVIGO: VR vs. PC)
Games like OctoRaid VR

A typical game among these

≈ 660–8k copies

≈ $4k–$78k after Steam's cut

from ~32 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: DAVIGO: VR vs. PC at ≈ 35k–57k copies, ≈ $240k–$644k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 339.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Asymmetric VR (8 of 8) and VR (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Asymmetric VR, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

VR The Diner Duo
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$310k before Steam's cut
$14.99
437 reviews
Very Positive
Asymmetric VRVR
Puppet Fever
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$19k before Steam's cut
$14.99
37 reviews
Positive
VRLocal Multiplayer
Late For Work
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut
$14.99
84 reviews
Very Positive
VRLocal Multiplayer
Potato Party: Hash It Out
2021
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$9.99
22 reviews
Positive
Asymmetric VRMultiplayer
Operation Armstrong
2021
Est. copies
≈ 670–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
$12.99
27 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRAsymmetric VR
DAVIGO: VR vs. PC
2023
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
44x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$240k–$644k after Steam's cut $436k–$991k before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessVR
VR Async Balls
2022
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
SimulationSports
FitnessVR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15 reviews
Mixed
SportsVR

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