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How many copies did 封神榜2022 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 24k–39k
$66k–$177k after Steam's cut $120k–$272k before Steam's cut
from 966 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 封神榜2022 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 封神榜2022's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 211k–624k
best case 2.0M (Gujian3(古剑奇谭三))
Games like 封神榜2022

A typical game among these

≈ 211k–624k copies

≈ $2.6M–$7.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is JRPG (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 911 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (3 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Martial Arts, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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JRPGRPG
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≈ 345k–561k
1.7x vs typical
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Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
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Est. copies
≈ 792k–1.3M
3.9x vs typical
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Est. revenue
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$24.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RPG2D

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