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How many copies did An Outcry sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
from 124 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid An Outcry and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including An Outcry's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–2.5M
best case 22.0M (Undertale)
Games like An Outcry

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–2.5M copies

≈ $11.3M–$18.1M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.8M–27.2M copies, ≈ $46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 24k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Multiple Endings (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Funny + RPG + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

OMORI
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
The Hungry Lamb: Traveling in the Late Ming Dynasty
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelHistorical
NEEDY STREAMER OVERLOAD
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$15.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
The Stanley Parable: Ultra Deluxe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 898k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Multiple EndingsComedy
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.8M–27.2M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.0M–$123.8M after Steam's cut $83.7M–$190.4M before Steam's cut
$9.99
343k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
SILENT HILL 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$31.4M–$84.4M after Steam's cut $57.1M–$129.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
OneShot
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
65k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Life is Strange: Before the Storm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$16.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter

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