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How many copies did Grimoire Groves sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before Steam's cut
from 66 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Grimoire Groves and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grimoire Groves's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 91k–9.2M
best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like Grimoire Groves

A typical game among these

≈ 91k–9.2M copies

≈ $535k–$88.7M after Steam's cut

from ~86k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 42k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (5 of 8) and Deckbuilding (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.3M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.5M–$116.9M after Steam's cut $79.0M–$179.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
220k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Backpack Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 212k–344k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Replay ValueTurn-Based
Jumping Cat
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$2.99
61 reviews
Mostly Positive
Die in the Dungeon
2026
Est. copies
≈ 89k–145k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$368k–$990k after Steam's cut $669k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessTurn-Based Strategy
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Spells & Secrets
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$57k–$153k after Steam's cut $103k–$235k before Steam's cut
$24.99
334 reviews
Mostly Positive

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