How much revenue did Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance make?

$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance sell?

Q: How many copies did Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance sell?

112k to 181k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 112k–181k; $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.1M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 391k–549k

best case 1.3M (Company of Heroes 3)

Games like Terminator: Dark Fate - Defiance

A typical game among these

≈ 391k–549k copies

≈ $3.9M–$6.7M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Company of Heroes 3 at ≈ 1.0M–1.6M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share RTS (8 of 8) and Wargame (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Wargame + RTS, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Action RTS + Co-op + PvE; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wargame: Red Dragon 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.5M after Steam's cut $16.6M–$37.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	20k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Ultimate General: Civil War 2017	Est. copies ≈ 296k–481k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	9k reviews Very Positive	WargameReal Time Tactics
WARNO 2024	Est. copies ≈ 401k–651k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.4M–$11.8M after Steam's cut $8.0M–$18.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	16k reviews Mostly Positive	WargameMilitary
Company of Heroes 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.6M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	40k reviews Mixed	SingleplayerStrategy
Ultimate Epic Battle Simulator 2 2023	Est. copies ≈ 186k–303k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	SimulationSandbox
Total War: ROME REMASTERED 2021	Est. copies ≈ 342k–556k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyGrand Strategy
Starship Troopers: Terran Command 2022	Est. copies ≈ 299k–486k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	12k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Bad North: Jotunn Edition 2018	Est. copies ≈ 436k–709k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Very Positive	WargameVikings