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How many copies did That Castle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 174–282
$143–$384 after Steam's cut $260–$590 before Steam's cut
from 7 reviews (7 user reviews)
Only 7 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid That Castle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including That Castle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–17k
best case 1.4M (Metaphor: ReFantazio)
Games like That Castle

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–17k copies

≈ $14k–$239k after Steam's cut

from ~224 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Metaphor: ReFantazio at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 44 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 15k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share JRPG (7 of 8) and Action RPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $70. The breakout hits carry Anime + Story Rich + Time Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
194x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Time For Quest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 893–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$7.99
31 reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Labyrinth of Galleria: The Moon Society
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$206k–$553k after Steam's cut $374k–$850k before Steam's cut
$49.99
603 reviews
Very Positive
Mary Skelter 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$53k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$221k before Steam's cut
$34.99
224 reviews
Mostly Positive
Dungeon CrawlerTactical RPG
Disgaea 7: Vows of the Virtueless
2023
Est. copies
≈ 24k–39k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$397k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $722k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
970 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAdventure
Magellania
2021
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$29k–$78k after Steam's cut $53k–$120k before Steam's cut
$9.99
426 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAction RPG
仙界之剑 仙王少女战记
2023
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$11.99
34 reviews
Positive
JRPGRPG
Sin Slayers: Reign of The 8th
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $23k–$51k before Steam's cut
$19.99
91 reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based StrategyRogue-like

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