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How many copies did Baladins sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$34k–$90k after Steam's cut $61k–$139k before Steam's cut
from 197 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Baladins and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Baladins's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 19k–216k
best case 1.6M (Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader)
Games like Baladins

A typical game among these

≈ 19k–216k copies

≈ $217k–$785k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Choose Your Own Adventure (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 688 reviews in their first month; the range was 17 to 10k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (3 of 8) and Action RPG (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Cinematic, priced around $50.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.