How much revenue did Antioch: Scarlet Bay make?

$9k–$24k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Antioch: Scarlet Bay sell?

Q: How many copies did Antioch: Scarlet Bay sell?

6k to 10k copies, based on its 266 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6k–10k; $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before the cut; from 266 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Antioch: Scarlet Bay out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Antioch: Scarlet Bay's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 56k–95k

best case 1.4M (Return of the Obra Dinn)

The Detective genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A niche genre: plan for a small audience.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game

≈ 56k–95k copies

≈ $584k–$647k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Best case

≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies

Return of the Obra Dinn · ≈ $5.8M–$15.6M after Steam's cut

A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

The launch: The games that made it here had roughly 321 to 2k reviews in their first month.
Your set: Your set clusters on Detective (6 of 8) and Noir (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Detective, priced around $20.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

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