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How many copies did Hidden Tavern Top-Down 3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 794–1k
$44k–$117k after Steam's cut $79k–$181k before Steam's cut
from 32 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hidden Tavern Top-Down 3D and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hidden Tavern Top-Down 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 36k–83k
best case 427k (EVERSPACE™ 2)
Games like Hidden Tavern Top-Down 3D

A typical game among these

≈ 36k–83k copies

≈ $51k–$304k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: EVERSPACE™ 2 at ≈ 326k–529k copies, ≈ $4.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 472 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (3 of 8) and Action-Adventure (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Shooter + Space, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Space + Loot + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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ShooterSpace

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.