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How many copies did Dogs Cyberpuzzle sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 546–887
$299–$803 after Steam's cut $543–$1k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dogs Cyberpuzzle and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dogs Cyberpuzzle's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.2M
best case 5.8M (Stray)
Games like Dogs Cyberpuzzle

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–2.2M copies

≈ $9.5M–$24.3M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action-Adventure (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stray at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (2 of 8) and Exploration (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cats + Cyberpunk, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Cats + Cyberpunk + Cute; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Mirror's Edge™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureParkour
Atomic Heart
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$22.9M–$61.6M after Steam's cut $41.7M–$94.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
56k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentFPS
Jumphobia: Homeward Bound
2022
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$953–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$9.99
14 reviews
Mostly Positive
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
179k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure
SIGNALIS
2022
Est. copies
≈ 862k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hacknet
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
HackingSimulation
Valiant Hearts: The Great War™ / Soldats Inconnus : Mémoires de la Grande Guerre™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.4M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.6M–$26.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericHistorical
SUPERHOT
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS

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