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How many copies did Duel Jousting VR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 50–81
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
from 2 reviews (2 user reviews)
Only 2 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Duel Jousting VR and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Duel Jousting VR's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 122–725k
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Duel Jousting VR

A typical game among these

≈ 122–725k copies

≈ $675–$3k after Steam's cut

from ~15 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 106.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (7 of 8) and Combat (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
6013x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
54215x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Space Dragon
2017
Est. copies
≈ 447–727
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$8k before Steam's cut
$14.99
13 reviews
Positive
ActionVR
Komodo 3K Arena
2023
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48–$127 after Steam's cut $87–$196 before Steam's cut
$6.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ActionSimulation
Crystal Riders VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$14.99
16 reviews
Positive
ActionVR
Mortal and Monster
2021
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
$19.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
ActionAdventure
The Falconeer: Revolution Remaster
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–25k
43x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$85k–$230k after Steam's cut $155k–$354k before Steam's cut
$19.99
627 reviews
Mostly Positive
CombatOpen World
Rain of Arrows
2021
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$305–$826 after Steam's cut $555–$1k before Steam's cut
$14.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
VRArchery

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