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How many copies did Cool Game sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$95–$254 after Steam's cut $172–$391 before Steam's cut
from 14 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cool Game and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cool Game's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–3k
best case 7k (Eclipse)
Games like Cool Game

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–3k copies

≈ $7k–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~57 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Eclipse at ≈ 5k–8k copies, ≈ $4k–$11k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 30 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 76.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mystery Dungeon (6 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mystery Dungeon + Top-Down, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2020 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Arcane Ascent
2026
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$14.99
31 reviews
Positive
Early AccessCard Battler
Lazriel: The Demon's Fall
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
$14.99
89 reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
AbsentedAge: Squarebound
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$12.99
67 reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeAction RPG
Mystery of Fortune 2 Refine
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
98 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAuto Battler
Dread Nautical
2020
Est. copies
≈ 794–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$19.99
32 reviews
Mostly Positive
LovecraftianIndie
The Rings of Powder
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
$12.99
47 reviews
Positive
Strategy4X
Eclipse
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut
$2.99
208 reviews
Mixed
AdventureRPG
Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath
2022
Est. copies
≈ 496–806
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$19.99
20 reviews
Positive
Mystery DungeonRogue-like

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