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How many copies did Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–27k
best case 72k (Shattered Pixel Dungeon)
Games like Dawn of Kagura: Maika's Story - The Dragon's Wrath

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–27k copies

≈ $37k–$265k after Steam's cut

from ~269 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Shattered Pixel Dungeon at ≈ 55k–89k copies, ≈ $150k–$404k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 140 reviews in their first month; the range was 86 to 314.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (7 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Traditional Roguelike + Dungeon Crawler, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tangledeep
2018
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$187k–$502k after Steam's cut $339k–$772k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Traditional RoguelikeTurn-Based Tactics
Obsidian Prince
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$15k–$39k after Steam's cut $27k–$60k before Steam's cut
$14.99
143 reviews
Mostly Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderTurn-Based Strategy
Sorcery Saga: Curse of the Great Curry God
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$22k–$58k after Steam's cut $40k–$90k before Steam's cut
$19.99
130 reviews
Mixed
Mystery DungeonJRPG
Shiren the Wanderer: The Mystery Dungeon of Serpentcoil Island
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$141k–$380k after Steam's cut $257k–$584k before Steam's cut
$39.99
518 reviews
Very Positive
Shattered Pixel Dungeon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 55k–89k
8.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$150k–$404k after Steam's cut $273k–$621k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Traditional RoguelikeDungeon Crawler
3DRPG
2016
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$1.99
267 reviews
Mixed
RPGProcedural Generation
Dungeon Dreams 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$19.99
234 reviews
Very Positive
RPGParty-Based RPG
The Land Beneath Us
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$114k before Steam's cut
$14.99
270 reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTurn-Based Tactics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.