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How many copies did The Paracelsian Project sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 273–443
$375–$1k after Steam's cut $681–$2k before Steam's cut
from 11 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Paracelsian Project and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Paracelsian Project's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 295k–348k
best case 1.3M (The Coffin of Andy and Leyley)
Games like The Paracelsian Project

A typical game among these

≈ 295k–348k copies

≈ $930k–$2.8M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Coffin of Andy and Leyley at ≈ 982k–1.6M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 527 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (7 of 8) and Multiple Endings (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Multiple Endings, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Psychological + Dark Comedy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SIMULACRA
2017
Est. copies
≈ 161k–262k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$221k–$595k after Steam's cut $402k–$915k before Steam's cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorDetective
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
LoveChoice
2021
Est. copies
≈ 910k–1.5M
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$498k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $906k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
RomanceDating Sim
No Case Should Remain Unsolved
2024
Est. copies
≈ 266k–433k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Interactive FictionPuzzle
Buy a Croquette!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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Free
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RPGMakerMystery
Otaku's Adventure
2019
Est. copies
≈ 262k–426k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$504k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $917k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyMultiple Endings
Zero Escape: The Nonary Games
2017
Est. copies
≈ 256k–415k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AI: The Somnium Files
2019
Est. copies
≈ 272k–442k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelAnime

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