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How many copies did REPLAY BOYS sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
from 134 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid REPLAY BOYS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including REPLAY BOYS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 284k–472k
best case 1.5M (Love Is All Around)
Games like REPLAY BOYS

A typical game among these

≈ 284k–472k copies

≈ $1.2M–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Love Is All Around at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 55 to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Sexual Content, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Dating Sim + Sexual Content + FMV; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Love Is All Around
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
46k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimSexual Content
Homicipher
2024
Est. copies
≈ 207k–336k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$796k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$13.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOtome
Her Story
2015
Est. copies
≈ 509k–827k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
InvestigationTyping
No Case Should Remain Unsolved
2024
Est. copies
≈ 266k–433k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $930k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Interactive FictionPuzzle
Long Live The Queen
2013
Est. copies
≈ 453k–736k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelPolitical Sim
Class of '09
2021
Est. copies
≈ 226k–368k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$622k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
CasualChoose Your Own Adventure
BAD END THEATER
2021
Est. copies
≈ 250k–406k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$687k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Multiple EndingsVisual Novel
Far Away
2021
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$12.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerVisual Novel

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