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How many copies did Blades of Time sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 172k–280k
$473k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $860k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blades of Time and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Blades of Time's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–2.3M
best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)
Games like Blades of Time

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–2.3M copies

≈ $10.3M–$13.9M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (6 of 8) and Female Protagonist (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + Battle Royale + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Maneater
2021
Est. copies
≈ 669k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldDark Humor
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Devil May Cry 4 Special Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.6M–$20.4M after Steam's cut $13.8M–$31.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHack and Slash
Alice: Madness Returns
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.5M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFemale Protagonist
LIZARDS MUST DIE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 656k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$719k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HistoricalSouls-like
DmC: Devil May Cry
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.3M–$46.4M after Steam's cut $31.4M–$71.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHack and Slash
Bayonetta
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
77k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological

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