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How many copies did Escape First Alchemist ⚗️ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–45k
$76k–$205k after Steam's cut $139k–$315k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Escape First Alchemist ⚗️ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Escape First Alchemist ⚗️'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 175k–452k
best case 12.2M (Hogwarts Legacy)
Games like Escape First Alchemist ⚗️

A typical game among these

≈ 175k–452k copies

≈ $1.6M–$2.4M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hogwarts Legacy at ≈ 9.3M–15.1M copies, ≈ $153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 464 to 171k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fantasy (6 of 8) and Magic (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Magic + Open World, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + Exploration + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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LEGOAdventure
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Dungeons & DragonsFree to Play
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Est. revenue
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