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How many copies did Matchmaking Inc. sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 183k–298k
$453k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $824k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Matchmaking Inc. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Matchmaking Inc.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 538k–1.5M
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Matchmaking Inc.

A typical game among these

≈ 538k–1.5M copies

≈ $3.4M–$8.8M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Dating Sim (5 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

仙灵图录
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Est. copies
≈ 25–40
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$2.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
CasualDating Sim
Star Dream Journey
2025
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$8.99
63 reviews
Mixed
Visual NovelSexual Content
小白兔电商~Bunny e-Shop
2021
Est. copies
≈ 254k–413k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$768k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$10.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CapitalismVisual Novel
Sultan's Game
2025
Est. copies
≈ 876k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 907k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like
Potionomics
2022
Est. copies
≈ 184k–299k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
DeckbuildingDating Sim
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Volcano Princess
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut
$10.99
49k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Life SimMultiple Endings

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