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How many copies did 77 Oleander Avenue sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 77 Oleander Avenue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 77 Oleander Avenue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.7M
best case 2.4M (What Remains of Edith Finch)
Games like 77 Oleander Avenue

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies

≈ $2.4M–$16.4M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: What Remains of Edith Finch at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeNudity
The Coffin of Andy and Leyley
2023
Est. copies
≈ 982k–1.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.7M after Steam's cut $5.9M–$13.4M before Steam's cut
$11.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PsychologicalDark Comedy
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Milk outside a bag of milk outside a bag of milk
2021
Est. copies
≈ 556k–903k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$8.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
Danganronpa V3: Killing Harmony
2017
Est. copies
≈ 806k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDetective
Tales of Berseria™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 651k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.0M–$24.1M after Steam's cut $16.3M–$37.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeJRPG

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