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How many copies did The Great War: Western Front™ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 82k–133k
$790k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Great War: Western Front™ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Great War: Western Front™'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–5.2M
best case 4.9M (Total War: WARHAMMER III)
Games like The Great War: Western Front™

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–5.2M copies

≈ $57.4M–$101.3M after Steam's cut

from ~68k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: WARHAMMER III at ≈ 3.7M–6.0M copies, ≈ $61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (8 of 8) and RTS (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Grand Strategy, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Total War: SHOGUN 2
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: WARHAMMER III
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$61.3M–$164.8M after Steam's cut $111.4M–$253.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
150k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Total War: ATTILA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: SHOGUN 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.3M–7.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$35.4M–$95.2M after Steam's cut $64.4M–$146.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: WARHAMMER
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$35.9M–$96.6M after Steam's cut $65.3M–$148.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
52k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyFantasy
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
94k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: WARHAMMER II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
121k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyFantasy
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Mixed
Naval CombatNaval

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