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How big is The Riese Project - Prologue?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 5k–8k
from 197 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Riese Project - Prologue and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Riese Project - Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–12.5M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like The Riese Project - Prologue

A typical game among these

≈ 6.7M–12.5M copies

≈ $100.9M–$173.4M after Steam's cut

from ~227k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 83k reviews in their first month; the range was 36k to 836k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Action RPG + Souls-like + Mythology; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2026, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
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≈ 12.0M–19.6M
1.7x vs typical
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