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How big is Celtique?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 99–161
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Celtique and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Celtique's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–44k
best case 2.9M (Beat Saber)
Games like Celtique

A typical game among these

≈ 7k–44k copies

≈ $31k–$569k after Steam's cut

from ~562 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Beat Saber at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 165 reviews in their first month; the range was 20 to 191.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Music (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Rhythm, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Fast-Paced + Difficult + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Beat Saber
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
136x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRRhythm
Dance Collider
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$4.99
193 reviews
Very Positive
IndieVR
Wave Beta
2017
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
577 reviews
Very Positive
SimulationMassively Multiplayer
Audioshield
2016
Est. copies
≈ 114k–185k
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$626k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndieVR
PowerBeatsVR - VR Fitness
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$77k–$206k after Steam's cut $139k–$317k before Steam's cut
$19.99
562 reviews
Very Positive
SportsAction
BOXVR
2019
Est. copies
≈ 47k–76k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
SportsIndie
Holodance
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$29k–$79k after Steam's cut $53k–$121k before Steam's cut
$19.99
215 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmMusic
Space Channel 5 VR Kinda Funky News Flash!
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut
$24.99
76 reviews
Very Positive
RhythmSpectacle fighter

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