How much revenue did Dear Friend make?

$7–$18 after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Dear Friend sell?

Q: How many copies did Dear Friend sell?

25 to 40 copies, based on its 1 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 25–40; $7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut; from 1 review (1 user reviews); Only 1 review so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dear Friend and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dear Friend's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 162k–548k

best case 898k (A Plague Tale: Requiem)

Games like Dear Friend

A typical game among these

≈ 162k–548k copies

≈ $1.0M–$9.6M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: A Plague Tale: Requiem at ≈ 684k–1.1M copies, ≈ $9.4M–$25.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 9 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 4k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action-Adventure (6 of 8) and Education (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action-Adventure + Exploration, priced around $50.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Haven 2020	Est. copies ≈ 152k–246k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RomanceAction-Adventure
Billionaire Lovers 2021	Est. copies ≈ 95k–154k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $78k–$209k after Steam's cut $141k–$322k before Steam's cut	$2.99	4k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelRPG
A Plague Tale: Requiem 2022	Est. copies ≈ 684k–1.1M 4.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $9.4M–$25.3M after Steam's cut $17.1M–$38.9M before Steam's cut	$49.99	28k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction
Born Race 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $570–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut	$1.99	42 reviews Positive	EducationRetro
Aquarium Adventures 2025	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $69–$184 after Steam's cut $125–$283 before Steam's cut	$4.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	SimulationAction-Adventure
Player City 2021	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $165–$442 after Steam's cut $300–$680 before Steam's cut	$11.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	AdventureCasual
Ostatni Dzien w Pracy 2020	Est. copies ≈ 74–121 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut	$0.99	3 reviews 3 user reviews	ActionAdventure
T-night 2024	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $143–$384 after Steam's cut $260–$590 before Steam's cut	$2.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	Spectacle fighterExploration