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How many copies did Midnight Scenes: From the Woods sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before Steam's cut
from 205 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Midnight Scenes: From the Woods and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Midnight Scenes: From the Woods's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.9M
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Midnight Scenes: From the Woods

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.9M copies

≈ $4.4M–$13.0M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 40k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry VR + Online Co-Op + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Ghostwire: Tokyo
2022
Est. copies
≈ 526k–855k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerSupernatural
Five Nights at Freddy's
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSingleplayer
Murdered: Soul Suspect
2014
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
Sally Face - Episode One
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before Steam's cut
$2.99
30k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CONTROL Ultimate Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSupernatural

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